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About 85 results for "philip tetlock"

Predicting the probability of a downgrade

Philip Tetlock's Quest for Better Forecasting

In our second Masters in Business podcast this week, we speak withPhilip Tetlock,professor at the University of Pennsylvania, where he is on the faculty of both the Wharton School and the School of Arts and Sciences. Tetlock's specialty is ... Bloomberg View, 4 weeks ago

No room for failure: How student debt impacts results

Success starts with failure Is the world too complex for people to predict global events? Philip Tetlock asked this question in his 2005 book Expert Political Judgment . Tetlock looked at expert opinions from 1984 to 2003 and quantified how ...
 Daily Kos2 months ago

Monday Buzz: Farmers Markets Move Indoors—Into Hotels

What's This? Associations Now Brand Connection provides opportunities for advertisers to connect with the Associations Now audience. All content is paid for by the advertiser. The Associations Now editorial staff is not involved in creating this ...
 Associations Now4 days ago

Decision Quality. Value Creation from Better Business Decisions

1 of 4 Praise for DECISION QUALITY "No one has coached more businesses through highstakes strategic decisions than Carl Spetzler and the team at SDG. If you're looking for wisdom on making better decisions in your business, you've come to the ...
 Research and Markets1 week ago

Why Even the Best Forecasters Sometimes Miss the Mark

Despite all of the hype following Donald Trump's presidential campaign launch last year, readers of the data-driven website FiveThirtyEight had reason to believe the businessman's political popularity was a passing fancy. The site's founder, Nate ...
 Wharton1 week ago

Collapsing at the Speed of Twitter

In the Obama war room, Stephanie Cutter could see what was happening. The debate was being lost in the opening fifteen minutes because of a medium that had not even played a role in the campaign four years earlier. —DanBalz, Collision 2012: ...
 National Review2 weeks ago

The top 10 audiobooks on best-sellers for week ending April 8: Fiction 1. The Life We Bury by Allen Eskens, narrated by Zach Villa (Tantor Audio) 2. One With You by Sylvia Day, narrated by Jill Redfield and Jeremy York (Brilliance Audio) 3. Dawn by ...
 Yahoo! 7 Finance2 weeks ago

The Book Report: Superforecasting

This is a form of deliberate practice that will improve your decision-making. is a seasoned entrepreneur who reads a lot of books useful to business leaders. Periodically, hell share his thoughts about a book that really stood out. This month, Jerry ...
 Smart Business3 weeks ago
Irish Times

The enduring certainty of radical uncertainty

If you had described your iPhone in 1976, Friedman would not have understood you The excellent new book by Mervyn King, former governor of the Bank of England, is inevitably noticed mainly for its views on banking regulation and the outlook for the ...
 Irish Times3 weeks ago

All that's gold does not glitter

Why would you tell Mark (27th March) to get rid of his silver? If you were to do some deeper research on gold and silver, you would find they are likely to multiply many times. This will be due to the inflated world money supply producing a ... weeks ago
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