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About 26 results for "philip tetlock"

Quote of the Week: Philip Tetlock
World Bank

Quote of the Week: Philip Tetlock

Any good political psychologist should have the moral and historical imagination to see how he or she could become almost any ideological creature that has existed, or does exist on the planet. That includes Nazis, Stalinists, Maoists, ... World Bank, 2 months ago
Bloomberg View

How superforecasters think about the future — Faye Flam

SEPTEMBER 15 — When it comes to making forecasts — whether it's predicting the outcome of an election or determining whether a marriage will last — what good is intuition? Can our gut instincts guide us to correct outcomes, or are they too ...
 Malay Mail1 week ago How 'Superforecasters' Think About the Future  Bloomberg View2 weeks ago

This election, can we really trust the 'experts'?

Your Facebook feed is likely cluttered with predictions about the election. Filmmaker Michael Moore seems sure that GOP nominee Donald Trump will be our next president. CBS, meanwhile, speculated on a blowout for Democratic nominee Hillary ...
 The Hill2 weeks ago

September Continues To Haunt Wall Street

By Gary Alexander It's that time of year again. Summer is winding down. The kids are going back to school. The NFL season began Sunday and the baseball pennant race is heating up. The leaves will be falling soon. My old dog Toolie used to bark ...
 Seeking Alpha2 weeks ago

How to predict the future

Forget crystal balls. These tried and tested strategies can help you see where you need to take your business next. A young Margaret Thatcher once predicted that a woman would never become British prime minister in her lifetime. A major study of ...
 InTheBlack3 weeks ago

Freedom of Speech under Assault on Campus

Introduction Many academics now consider freedom of speech just another American eccentricity, like guns and religion. What they call free speech fundamentalism is misguided at best, in their view, and an embarrassment before our more ...
 Cato Institute4 weeks ago
Russian International Affairs Council

NATO, Russia, and Empathy: Modern Lessons from a Cold War Military Exercise

In November 1983 the Soviet Union began to increase the combat readiness of its forces in Eastern Europe, including the air force forward-deployed in East Germany, in preparation to meet an expected pre-emptive strike by the United States and its ...
 Russian International Affairs Council4 weeks ago

John Lothian: Cyber threat grows for bitcoin exchanges; Wheat price falls to lowest level in a decade; Are Index Funds Eating the World?

First Read Straining to See By John J. Lothian It was scary. On a canoe trip down the Sugar river on Saturday in Turkey Run State Park in Indiana, my canoe hit a strainer while trying to rescue a canoe with a couple of young scouts in it. Both ...
 John Lothian Newsletter4 weeks ago

Are Our Brains Already Pre-Wired To Determine The 2016 Election?-- A Guest Post By Daniel Levitin

[embedded content] Our guest blogger today is Dr. Daniel J. Levitin, a neuroscientist who has written for us a few times over the years. Dan and I have been close friends for over 3 decades. He is perhaps best known as the author of the mega ...
 Before It's News1 month ago

Thinking about Thinking: Part II

Last week, we examined the three types of statements deemed true. This week we will discuss the appropriate assignment of these statements and the dangers in their inappropriate use. We will conclude with how investors can use this analysis. As an ...
 Advisor Perspectives1 month ago
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