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About 5 results for "philip tetlock"

Modernizing Analytical Training For The 21st Century Analysis

Senior US intelligence leaders are starting to doubt whether experts are the best forecasters of emerging risks. Regina Joseph, however, has other culprits in mind. Familiar cultural and bureaucratic obstacles may be more to blame for the foresight ... Eurasia Review, 3 weeks ago

Beyond Moral Outrage — Weighing the Trade-Offs of COI Regulation

Although I probably couldn't have explained its rationale, I never questioned the anti-pharma animus that pervaded my medical education. The message I received from certain outspoken classmates and fellow trainees was that interacting with ...
 New England Journal of Medicine1 month ago

On the perils of prediction

Image: Research shows that pundits tend not to be much good at predicting future events. (Natalia Campbell/ ) Futurists, pollsters, political pundits—there's certainly no shortage of experts ready to predict the future in confident and ...
 ABC Online1 month ago

Groups are dumber than you think (but we can make them smarter)

Wiser: Getting Beyond Groupthink to Make Groups Smarter By Cass Sunstein and Reid Hastie | Harvard Business Review Press | $34.99 Cass Sunstein is a hyper-productive polyglot American legal scholar who crossed the line from academia into ...
 Inside Story1 month ago
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