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About 22 results for "philip tetlock"

Swedroe: Avoid The Famous & Authoritative

In my last post , I discussed how we tend to crave certainty, even when we know, logically, that it doesn't exist. With investing, it's a desire to believe that there's someone who can protect us from bear markets and the devastating losses that can ..., 4 days ago
Seeking Alpha

Book Review: Worldly Philosopher

Reviewed by William J. Bernstein Sooner or later, we all come to understand our parents' flaws. For Otto-Albert Hirschmann, the scion of a Jewish intellectual family in Weimar Berlin, that moment, he thought, came as a teenager when he discovered ...
 Seeking Alpha4 weeks ago
Business 2 Community

The Growing Emphasis on Big Data for Contingent Workforce Programs

In the first part of this series, we looked at the trends in HR technology that will shape the staffing industry landscape for 2015, particularly as firms of all sizes begin investing in performance management software to draw from the wellspring ...
 Business 2 Community1 month ago
Christian Post

Will Liberal Professors Wake Up to the Dangers of Their Anti-Conservative Hostility?

|3:19 pm (Photo: Reuters) A growing chorus of social scientists are raising concerns about the anti-conservative and anti-Christian hostilities within their ranks. Social psychology suffers from liberal confirmation bias and groupthink that leads ...
 Christian Post1 month ago

Is the market going up in 2015?

At the start of the New Year, investors usually turn to thoughts of returns. After strong performances in 2012 and 2013, the Australian equity market was a bit ordinary in 2014, finishing the year at around 5400 points just marginally higher than ...
 BT Invest1 month ago

Four things investors should avoid

Good investors need to be selective with what they pay attention to, argues Morgan Housel A version of this article was originally published on This is Warren Buffett's office at Berkshire Hathaway headquarters in Omaha, Nebraska. The ...
 AOL UK1 month ago Things Investors Should Read. Things Investors Should Avoid.  Motley Fool UK1 month ago
Bloomberg View

Political Predictions Are Pointless

In 2002, John Judis and Ruy Teixeira published a book called "The Emerging Democratic Majority," predicting that large and dependable minorities would grow out of a "strengthening alliance between minorities, working and single women, the college ...
 Bloomberg View1 month ago
Harvard Business Review

What Research Tells Us About Making Accurate Predictions

Prediction is very difficult, the old chestnut goes, especially about the future. And for years, social science agreed. Numerous studies detailed the forecasting failures of even so-called experts. Predicting the future is just too hard, the ...
 Harvard Business Review1 month ago
Social Dashboard

This Is The #1 Predictor Of Career Success According To Network Science

It has been over three years since Steve Jobs died. Since then, books have been written and movies have been made. Each has celebrated his legacy and aimed to share the secrets he used to build the largest company in the world; things like ...
 Social Dashboard2 months ago The No. 1 Predictor Of Career Success According To Network Science  Social Dashboard2 months ago

It's time to market forecasters to admit the errors of their ways

By , I come not to praise forecasters but to bury them. After lo these many years of listening to their nonsense, it is time for the investing community — and indeed, the seers themselves — to admit the error of their ways. Most ...
 Washington Post2 months ago
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