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About 21 results for "philip tetlock"

Talent Is Overrated

Im not a talented writer. In fact, in many ways Im pretty lousy. Im a miserable typist, capable of little better than hunt and peck, only have a vague idea about where to put commas and no matter how much I proofread, I usually end up with typos. ..., 1 week ago

1 images for "philip tetlock"

The Interpreter, 3 months ago

Average Joes are better at predicting world events than CIA analysts

Saul Loeb/AFP/ A group of 3,000 ordinary citizens, armed with nothing more than an Internet connection, is often making better forecasts of global events than CIA analysts. Here, a man crosses the CIA logo at its headquarters in Langley, Va The ...
 Sott.net2 weeks ago Average citizens can be much better than CIA at forecasting world events, study finds  Washington Times2 weeks ago So You Think You're Smarter Than A CIA Agent  NPR2 weeks ago

Letting the Foxes into Journalism's Hen(Hedgehog)house

I am rooting for Nate Silver and , his latest attempt to introduce a little data-driven veracity into the murky and anecdotal world of journalism. But I may be one of the few, at least if we take the current backlash as a ...
 Media Post3 weeks ago
Sydney Morning Herald

Formulas That Do a Number on the Future

Some things you can't describe in numbers, we are told. You can't reduce the beauty of romantic love to a list on a spreadsheet; you can't express the pleasure of a good glass of wine with a formula; you can't replace the knowledge gained through a ...
 New Indian Express3 weeks ago Calculating the formula for perfect romantic love  Sydney Morning Herald4 weeks ago Data takes romance out of the equation  WA Today4 weeks ago
Slate Magazine

On the Origins of Foxes and Hedgehogs

Left: a hedgehog. Right: a fox? Photo-illustration by Juliana Jimenez. Left: photo of a hedgehog by Giorgio Cosulich/. Right: photo of Nate Silver courtesy Randy Stewart​/Flickr. This week we are welcoming to the Internet a new incarnation ...
 Slate Magazine1 month ago
Washington Post

Why a complex, unjust, expensive, error-prone system might end up providing the best health care

Ezekiel Emanuel of the University of Pennsylvania Ezekiel Emanuel is Vice Provost for Global Initiatives and chair of the Department of Medical Ethics and Health Policy at the University of Pennsylvania. A breast oncologist with a doctorate in ...
 Washington Post1 month ago
Calcutta Telegraph

The Disappearance of Malaysia Flight 370 Represents An Affront To Our Most Basic Assumptions About Reality

We may never know what happened inside the cockpit of flight 370 in the hour after take-off en route to Beijing. The world is transfixed by the literally unthinkable events surrounding the apparent high-jacking and disappearance of Malaysia ...
 Forbes.com1 month ago US Navy's history in finding the lost  Calcutta Telegraph1 month ago
Eurasia Review

The Coming Human-Machine Forecasting Revolution In Foreign Policy? Analysis

By ISN Security Watch Advances in human-machine forecasting may revolutionize foreign policy, argues Regina Joseph. But as the US continues to innovate in the field, a wary Europe recoils from US-led data initiatives. Will that continue, she ...
 Eurasia Review1 month ago Graham : The Coming Human-Machine Forecasting Revolution In Foreign Policy? Analysis  4 Traders1 month ago

Who predicted Russias military intervention?

Other than Sarah Palin and certain Russian astrologers, few people foresaw that Russia would intervene militarily in the Ukraine. The Teaching, Research, and International Policy (TRIP) Project at the College of William & Maryheld a snap poll among ...
 Washington Post1 month ago

The Perfectly Dangerous Thing Your Clients Want

Michelle Pfeiffer was and is a major movie star. People magazine put her on the cover for its first 50 Most Beautiful People issue. The New York Times, no less, called her devastatingly gorgeous. So when Esquire magazine's December 1990 cover asked ...
 AdvisorOne1 month ago
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