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About 53 results for "philip tetlock"

The art of prediction
Fin24.com

The 3 Types Of Financial Forecasters

I just finished reading an excellent book called Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction by Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner. The authors do a wonderful job of putting our reality in the proper perspective and then helping us understand ... Seeking Alpha, 6 days ago
The Three Types of Financial Forecasters FreeRealTime.com, 1 week ago
The art of prediction Fin24.com, 1 week ago

Tetlock: U.S. Intelligence Balances "Political Safety" and Accuracy

There's a conflict in the U.S. intelligence community between "political safety" and granular accuracy when predicting the future, Philip Tetlock, professor at University of Pennsylvania told Wall Street Journal investing columnist Jason Zweig at ...
 Perth Now1 week ago What if activists could more accurately predict political events?  Before It's News1 month ago

Predicting the Future May Be Easier Than You Think

Getting predictions wrong can be costly. It's not just weather or loan defaults that get predicted. The intelligence community in 2002 officially concluded that Iraq had weapons of mass destruction and that was part of the rationale for why we went ...
 Government Executive7 hours ago Let's Be Honest About Market Predictions  Seeking Alpha5 days ago

The Right Way to Use Competitive Intelligence

Laura Schneider for HBR In July 2015, Novartis launched its new heart failure drug, Entresto, which Forbes in 2014 predicted would be a blockbuster — with expected sales of $10 billion annually — as the potential market in the US exceeds 5 ...
 Harvard Business Review2 days ago The Right Way to Use Analytics Isn't for Planning  Global Advisors1 week ago
SlideShare.net

Why should anyone trust so-called experts anymore?

This has been a terrible day for experts. Economic professionals were overwhelmingly of the opinion that leaving the European Union would hurt the United Kingdom. And until a few hours ago, the consensus of public opinion experts — at least if ...
 Stars and Stripes3 days ago Do the Experts Know Anything?  Bloomberg View3 days ago I'm an Expert. Don't Trust Me.  SlideShare.net1 month ago

Is Stanley Bergman a Better Capital Allocator Than Warren Buffett?

Fundamental investors ought to get to know the story of Henry Schein, Inc. and its South-African-born CEO, Stanley Bergman. Alex DUMORTIER Image source: . U.S. stocks are little changed in the run-up to tomorrow's Brexit referendum in the ...
 Motley Fool5 days ago
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USFR Weekly Recap - June18-19, 2016

TODAY ON U.S. FARM REPORT JUNE 18-19, 2016 OPENING HEADLINES: FROM THE STUDIOS OF FARM JOURNAL BROADCAST, THIS IS U.S. FARM REPORT. WELCOME TO THIS SPECIAL EDITION U.S. FARM REPORT FROM TOMORROW'S TOP PRODUCER CONFERENCE IN NASHVILLE, TENNESSEE.
 AgWeb.com6 days ago
Nasdaq

CFO Network Members -- WSJ

(Chief financial officers except as noted) Kedrick D. Adkins, Mayo Clinic Raj Agrawal, Western Union Christopher J. Appleton, Embraer Aircraft Holding Rajiv Bansal, ANI Technologies Pvt. Ltd. Richard Beckert, CA Technologies Beth Bombara, Hartford ...
 4 Traders1 week ago
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Weekend Digest: The GOP's Jurassic Park, a 3-D printed car, and sugary drinks edition

TV PREVIEW On this week's TV edition of Talk Business & Politics , which airs Sundays at 9:30 a.m. on KATV Channel 7 in Central Arkansas and in Northeast Arkansas on KAIT-NBC, Sundays at 10 a.m.: Trump vs. Hillary It's been a big week on the ...
 Talk Business & Politics1 week ago
Scientific American

Psychology's Credibility Crisis: the Bad, the Good and the Ugly

Times are tough for young psychologists. This thought has been rattling around in my head lately because we just finished searching for a new psychology professor at the university where I teach. When I met candidates, I had to ask about their ...
 Scientific American2 weeks ago
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