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About 55 results for "philip tetlock"

Anxious about the election? Here's some perspective.

(Washington Post illustration; iStock images/ ) By November 4 at 1:10 PM Follow ptetlock Philip E. Tetlock, a professor at the University of Pennsylvania, is a co-author of "." Dan Gardner, a journalist, and Philip E. Tetlock, a psychologist the ... Washington Post, 1 month ago

1 images for "philip tetlock"

World Bank, 4 months ago

Applying numbers to the innumerable

Ben D. Kritz EARLIER this week I read an enlightening essay by Stratfor's Dan Gardner and Philip E. Tetlock, who proposed an idea so unusual it's almost sacrilegious. One simple change to forecasters standard operating procedure could boost ...
 Manila Times1 month ago Summary of superforecasting by philip e tetlock and dan gardner includes analysis  SlideShare.net1 month ago
Day Of Dubai

Influential Knowledge Experts from Around the World to Speak at the Knowledge Summit 2016

The third annual Knowledge Summit brings together a number of high-ranking experts Influential knowledge experts and renowned personalities from all around the world will be converging inDubaito take part in the third annual Knowledge Summit, ...
 Middle East Directory5 days ago Knowledge Summit to start on December 5  Gulf News1 week ago

The First Step to Thinking Critically

Most investors know that it's important to think critically when buying or selling a stock. But what exactly does this mean? The Motley Fool's Gaby Lapera and contributor John Maxfield delve into this question in this segment of Industry Focus: ...
 Motley Fool5 days ago The Importance of Critical Thinking  FOXBusiness.com1 month ago
Biz Community

Fawlty Towers and the art of prediction

The legendary comedian John Cleese is being interviewed on the radio. He is explaining how arguably the most successful television series, Fawlty Towers, was liked by very few when it began in 1975. In fact, when the Daily Mirror reviewed the show ...
 Biz Community1 week ago
Business Live South Africa

No more Trump surprises: 10 ways to get better at forecasting

One study found a dart-throwing chimpanzee was as good a forecaster as the average expert in a range of fields The victory by Donald Trump in the US presidential election, like the Brexit vote earlier in the year, certainly confounded many experts.
 Business Live South Africa3 weeks ago

Hate to Say We Told You So...

A week ago, something happened that no one was prepared for - and I mean NO ONE. Donald Trump was elected president. When I say "no one," I include Donald Trump and his inner circle. The proof of this was his visit to the White House last ...
 Futures Strategy Group3 weeks ago

MWANYASI: Want to lose your cash? Then follow the forecasters

By now, readers of this column know my views on forecasting. But every now and then, it is worth reminding ourselves — especially following the recent results of the US presidential election and the polls failure in predicting Brexit — just how ...
 Business Daily Africa3 weeks ago
The Press NZ

A pollster's view: How Did the Polls Get the US Election So Wrong?

Voters cast their votes during the US presidential election in Elyria, Ohio. The polls failed to predict their intentions. Following the result of the US Election, a troubling question has lingered. For those of us in the research industry, ...
 The Press NZ3 weeks ago A pollster's view: Why the polls were wrong  The Press NZ3 weeks ago Election, debate predictions  Washington Times1 month ago

Donald Trump is US President: Why experts fared worse than a monkey

They said Donald Trump would lose; he won. Experts, psephologists, with fancy analytical tools included, disappointed again. Given the frequency with which they fail, perhaps it is time we treated them on a par with astrologers and crystal ball ...
 Firstpost.com4 weeks ago Donald Trump is US President: Here's why political experts were wrong and always are  Firstpost.com4 weeks ago
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