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About 14 results for "philip tetlock"

Sornette, Predictions, And Why To Avoid Harsco
Seeking Alpha

Sornette, Predictions, And Why To Avoid Harsco

Summary We're humble enough to admit that we can't point to the exact thing that will cause an overvalued stock to crash (much to the chagrin of some of our readers). That's why we try to avoid predicting the future, and avoid others' ... Seeking Alpha, 5 hours ago

2 images for "philip tetlock"

Scientific American, 1 day ago, 1 month ago

Can You See the Future? Probably Better Than Professional Forecasters - Jason Zweig

ImageCredit: Christophe Vorlet By Jason Zweig| 1:57 pm ET Sept. 25, 2015 Can't anybody here play this game? Three-quarters of all U.S. stock mutual funds have failed to beat the market over the past decade. Last year, 98% of economists ...
 Klse I3investor.com21 hours ago 5 Ways to See the Financial Future - Jason Zweig  Klse I3investor.com21 hours ago
Outlook India

Readers Of The Ark

N.R. Narayana Murthy Chairman emeritus, Infosys My attitude towards the public system, entrepreneurship and leadership has been shaped by several books. One of the most important pieces of literature I have read is the Spirit of Capitalism by ...
 Outlook India1 week ago
Dynamic CIO

7 New Books to Read This Fall

Here's a preview of the exciting new books on work and psychology. Instead of just spouting their opinions, these authors bring us real data: 1. Presence by Amy Cuddy (December 29) Building on her wildly popular TED talk about power ...
 Dynamic CIO3 weeks ago
Abu Dhabi National

Predictions of the future? Leave it to the superforecasters

When American intelligence set out to find thinkers capable of predicting the future, the super-forecasters were really not as the spooks behind the tests envisaged. Global stock markets crashing, refugee numbers soaring, nations in turmoil these ...
 Abu Dhabi National4 weeks ago

This Is the No. 1 Predictor of Career Success, According to Science

Keep your doors open It has been over three years since Steve Jobs died. Since then, books have been written and movies have been made. Each has celebrated his legacy and aimed to share the secrets he used to build the largest company in the ...
 Time1 month ago

How to outfox hedgehog ideas

IN 1953 the philosopher Isaiah Berlin divided thinkers into two categories — the hedgehog and the fox — borrowing from Greek philosopher Archilochus, who said: "The fox knows many things, but the hedgehog knows one big thing." Hedgehogs, argued ...
 BDlive1 month ago

The 15 most influential business books of 2015

Stephen Lam/Reuters SpaceX and Tesla CEO Elon Musk. The Financial Times and McKinsey & Co. have collaborated for their eleventh annual Business Book Awards, announcing a long-list of 15 semifinalists this week. This year's top business ...
 BusinessInsider.sg1 month ago
Irish Times

The tell-tale signs of unreliable stock market forecasters

A general rule of thumb: the most confident are the least accurate, according to research How will markets go? Forecaster Robert Prechter warned that the Dow Jones would fall below 1,000 in 2010 it has spent most of 2015 around the 18,000 level.
 Irish Times1 month ago
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