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About 19 results for "philip tetlock"

This Is The #1 Predictor Of Career Success According To Network Science
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This Is The #1 Predictor Of Career Success According To Networ...

It has been over three years since Steve Jobs died. Since then, books have been written and movies have been made. Each has celebrated his legacy and aimed to share the secrets he used to build the largest company in the world; things like ... Social Dashboard, 1 week ago

It's time to market forecasters to admit the errors of their ways

By , I come not to praise forecasters but to bury them. After lo these many years of listening to their nonsense, it is time for the investing community — and indeed, the seers themselves — to admit the error of their ways. Most ...
 Washington Post1 week ago

Teams better than individuals at intelligence analysis, research finds

AAAS Annual Meeting 12-16 February, 2015 San Jose, California EurekAlert! provides embargoed and breaking science news you can't afford to miss. EurekAlert! offers a one-stop science news distribution service you can trust. EurekAlert! is a ...
 EurekAlert!1 week ago

How to find good research: Advisors share top tips

How much time do you spend researching stocks, or different portfolio construction methods? Do you stick to what's offered in-house, or do you look elsewhere for another view? For many, the answer to the first question is, Not as much as Id like, ...
 Advisor.ca1 week ago

Embrace Your Ignorance

This is a summary of the full article. To enjoy the full article sign in, , or . Today's savviest executives acknowledge that most of the time, they can't accurately predict what their customers will want, like or need. That's where experiments come ...
 Sloan Management2 weeks ago
Troy Media

Beware of bias in the social sciences

Purchase this PREMIUM content for your publication or website. Contact Pat TORONTO, ON, Jan 2, 2015/ Troy Media/ When it comes to discussion of public policy, the term evidence-based has assumed mantra status. Those who deploy it immediately ...
 Troy Media3 weeks ago
Bangladesh Daily Star

New Year's Resolution: Why planning doesn't work

Each night, you write a checklist for the next day. As the day progresses, you check out each task. When was the last time you crossed out each task by the end of the day? You're in a group of selected few if this happens frequently. If promises are ...
 Bangladesh Daily Star3 weeks ago

Why are 'experts' so bad at predicting the future?

Image: A 1950s advertisement featuring 'the electronic cars of the future'. (Hulton Archive) According to some experts, 2015 will by the year of wearable technology; according to others, the year of low oil prices. The only safe prediction on New ...
 ABC Online3 weeks ago

What Mark Bittman, Mark Kelly, and the Potato-Salad Guy Predict for 2015

Trying to be a completist is a never-ending project. That's why, in assembling our look ahead at how the business world will change in 2015, we didn't try to talk to everyone about everything; instead, we picked nine industries—some niche, some ...
 Yahoo! Finance4 weeks ago
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Who knows what the new year holds? Certainly none of us | Gaby Hinsliff

E ight years ago this Boxing Day was the first time I felt the baby kick. Although it didn't feel like a kick, exactly: more the slow bubbling of porridge on a rolling boil. He won't be a rugby player then, someone joked, and silently in my head I ...
 Social Dashboard1 month ago
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