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About 46 results for "philip tetlock"

Beyond Moral Outrage — Weighing the Trade-Offs of COI Regula...

Although I probably couldn't have explained its rationale, I never questioned the anti-pharma animus that pervaded my medical education. The message I received from certain outspoken classmates and fellow trainees was that interacting with ... New England Journal of Medicine, 2 days ago

On the perils of prediction

Image: Research shows that pundits tend not to be much good at predicting future events. (Natalia Campbell/ ) Futurists, pollsters, political pundits—there's certainly no shortage of experts ready to predict the future in confident and ...
 ABC Online2 days ago

Groups are dumber than you think (but we can make them smarter)

Wiser: Getting Beyond Groupthink to Make Groups Smarter By Cass Sunstein and Reid Hastie | Harvard Business Review Press | $34.99 Cass Sunstein is a hyper-productive polyglot American legal scholar who crossed the line from academia into ...
 Inside Story1 week ago
Seeking Alpha

Beating The Market Is Simple, But Not Easy

Investors spend a great deal of time and effort trying to find the best stocks, but most still fail to beat the market. This is most likely due to information overload -- humans can't process large volumes of information and make rational ...
 Seeking Alpha3 weeks ago

A five-step guide to not being stupid

[12:05] - TODAY.AZ If you ever doubt the idea that the very clever can also be very silly, just remember the time the smartest man in America tried to electrocute a turkey. Benjamin Franklin had been attempting to capture electrical fire in glass ...
 Today.Az1 month ago

How not to be stupid

Even the smartest people can be fools. David Robson explains how to avoid the most common traps of sloppy thinking. If you ever doubt the idea that the very clever can also be very silly, just remember the time the smartest man in America tried ...
 BBC1 month ago
Crawford Financial Planning

New $6 Million Andrew Carnegie Fellows Program Supports Social Sciences and Humanities

/PRNewswire-USNewswire/ -- Carnegie Corporation of New York announced the names of 32 Andrew Carnegie Fellows today as the inaugural class of a major annual fellowship program that will provide support for scholars in the social sciences and ...
 Crawford Financial Planning1 month ago
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The science of why you really should listen to experts | Washington Post

It's no secret that Americans have trouble withscientific authority. We are, after all, a country nearly half composed of creationists who think humans have been around for only 10,000 years or less. And experts don't just suffer at the hands of ...
 Sightline Daily1 month ago

When It Comes To Stocks, Trust Fundamentals - Not Forecasts

Apr. 2, 2015 1:18 PM ET | Includes: AFSI, GTLS, OVTI, PWR, SODA by: Summary Forecasts are everywhere in the stock market, but more often than not they are wrong. Trust a stock's fundamentals and financials - not forecasts - when analyzing ...
 Seeking Alpha1 month ago

Swedroe: Avoid The Famous & Authoritative

In my last post , I discussed how we tend to crave certainty, even when we know, logically, that it doesn't exist. With investing, it's a desire to believe that there's someone who can protect us from bear markets and the devastating losses that can ...
 ETF.com1 month ago
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